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The IPO Isn't the Liquidity Event. It's the Start of One.
A lockup is a contractual restriction, negotiated between the company and its underwriters, that prevents insiders, employees, and pre-IPO investors from selling shares for a set period after listing. Standard terms run 90 to 180 days, though the exact length and who it applies to varies by deal.
Hans Stege
Jul 165 min read


Supabase and the New Backend Boom
AI-assisted coding has changed that calculus. The time from idea to deployed application has compressed in ways that were genuinely difficult to anticipate even two years ago. And when software creation moves that fast, the plumbing that supports it starts to matter differently. Infrastructure that used to be a one-time decision is now being provisioned thousands of times a day, often by automated tools rather than human developers. That shift is where Supabase's story begins
Hans Stege
Jul 65 min read


The Art Behind the Number
Every few months at PEP name comes through that the rest of the market has not yet priced correctly yet. By the time everyone agrees it’s a great company, the price has already moved past the point where it’s a great deal. The window between those two moments is where the actual work happens, and it has less to do with access than you might think (access, after all, is at premium when “everyone” wants into the deal).
Hans Stege
Jun 196 min read


The Logjam Breaks: SpaceX Prices, Anthropic and OpenAI File
SpaceX prices its IPO Thursday, with first trades Friday on the Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, at a fixed $135 per share. The base raise is $75 billion, rising toward $86 billion if underwriters exercise the over-allotment, the largest offering in history by a wide margin. In the same stretch, Anthropic and OpenAI each confidentially filed draft S-1 paperwork with the SEC. Anthropic filed first, on the heels of a funding round valuing the company near $965 billion. OpenAI followed
Hans Stege
Jun 125 min read


SpaceX: A Structured IPO
On May 11, 2026 SpaceX filed its initial Form S-1, and on June 3 the company filed an amended S-1/A that, unusually, set an exact offering price rather than a range: 555,555,555 Class A shares at $135.00, raising approximately $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion fully diluted valuation. Shares are expected to begin trading on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX later this month, per press reports. The size is unprecedented — the largest IPO in U.S. history, twice the prior record.
Hans Stege
Jun 511 min read


5 Common Mistakes When Investing in Secondaries - and Ways to Avoid Them
Secondary venture investing is harder than it looks. The asset class concentrates liquidity around a handful of genuinely great companies, which creates the illusion that picking winning secondaries is mostly about picking winning companies. It isn't. In practice, there are five distinct ways a secondary investment can go wrong. Each hurdle requires its own discipline to prevent. At PrePublic Equity Partners, our investment process is built around avoiding all five.
Gray Chynoweth
May 510 min read


SpaceX’s IPO Would Be Different for One Big Reason: It Would Arrive Already Massive
In December 2024, Bloomberg reported a secondary share sale that valued the company at about $350 billion. Separately, Reuters reported in late 2025 that SpaceX was exploring an IPO that could raise more than $25 billion and value the company at over $1 trillion. Even taking the more conservative $350 billion figure, SpaceX would arrive at the public markets as one of the largest companies ever to list.bThat is what makes a potential SpaceX IPO so different.
Hans Stege
May 46 min read


Six Things We've Learned from Cerebras' New S-1
When we last wrote about Cerebras, the company had confidentially refiled for IPO and the debate was theoretical: would public markets reward a capital-intensive AI infrastructure company on strategic positioning alone, as longtime backer Coatue argued, or would “price matter” once a real-time pricing engine got involved?
Hans Stege
Apr 2211 min read


Deepgram and the Rise of Voice AI Infrastructure
For years, speech technology largely lived at the edge of the enterprise stack: call transcription, dictation, basic IVR, and narrow automation. That is changing. The latest data suggests enterprises are no longer treating voice as a feature. They are beginning to treat it as a core interface — and, increasingly, as a strategic layer of software.
Hans Stege
Apr 156 min read


Revolut: A New Kind of Bank, at an Intriguing Inflection Point
"We have built a diversified, resilient business that is profitable at scale, providing the foundation for our next phase of growth. A decade into this journey, we have only just begun to show what is possible." — Nik Storonsky, CEO, Revolut 2025 Annual Report.That is not the language of a company running out of runway. It is the language of a business that has found its footing and is now staring at two of its largest markets still largely ahead of it.
Hans Stege
Mar 296 min read


The Tender Offer Is Becoming a Standard Employee Benefit
Two pieces of news this week that, taken together, say something bigger about where private markets are heading.
Hans Stege
Mar 204 min read


SpaceX: Dominant Infrastructure, Recurring Revenue, and the xAI Question
Few private companies attract the level of sustained institutional attention that SpaceX does — and for good reason. Across the dimensions that matter most to sophisticated investors evaluating late-stage private opportunities — market position, financial profile, and path to liquidity — SpaceX presents a compelling case. It also carries at least one meaningful new variable worth watching carefully.
Hans Stege
Mar 194 min read


The Teracorn Era Is Here
Value creation is staying private. Liquidity is learning to follow it as venture secondaries become a crucial on-ramp. For most of modern venture history, the script was straightforward: invest early, support the company, and wait for an IPO or acquisition to unlock returns. That script is now being rewritten as two powerful signals are converging.
graham chynoweth
Mar 55 min read


The INVEST Act Could Mean Big Changes for Private Markets
Access Is Expanding — and That Raises the Bar for Discipline
There’s a quiet but important signal coming out of Washington.
The U.S. House has passed the INVEST Act of 2025 — a broad capital-formation package aimed at modernizing how capital flows into growing companies. It’s not law yet. The Senate still needs to act. But the direction of travel is clear: policymakers recognize that more value creation is happening in private markets — and they’re exploring ways to exp
Gray Chynoweth
Mar 35 min read


Cerebras Refiles for IPO; A Real-World Test of Whether “Price Matters Least” in AI Infrastructure
This week The Information reported that Cerebras Systems, the Silicon Valley chip designer built around its wafer-scale computing architecture, has confidentially refiled for a U.S. IPO that could come as soon as April 2026.
Hans Stege
Feb 255 min read


The Tender-Offer Economy
For decades, the IPO defined liquidity — the moment value crystallized.
That model is outdated. Today, a growing share of enterprise value is created — and priced — in private markets through structured tenders and secondary transactions. Liquidity is no longer binary. It is engineered.
This shift is structural, not cyclical. And it is changing where — and when — investors access growth.
Gray Chynoweth
Feb 203 min read


What I’m Watching After A Busy IPO Week
The IPO market is technically open…but it’s already becoming choosy.
A week ago, Blackstone’s president declared that “2026 should be the year of the IPO.” Just days later, one of Blackstone’s own portfolio companies put that assumption to question.
On the surface, it was a busy week for new listings, with seven IPOs and six SPACs pricing. But it was also notable for what didn’t happen.
Hans Stege
Feb 106 min read


Private for Longer: What the New Tech Lifecycle Means for Individual Investors
A growing share of today’s most important technology companies are staying private far longer than prior generations, even as they reach massive scale. That shift is reshaping how value is created, how liquidity emerges, and when investors are able to participate.
Hans Stege
Feb 36 min read


Liquidity is back — just not through IPOs (yet)
After two years of a constrained exit environment, private-market liquidity is increasingly being delivered through secondaries and structured transactions, not traditional IPOs.
Hans Stege
Jan 234 min read


What Nvidia’s $20B Groq Deal Says About the Next AI Hardware Opportunities in Late-Stage Venture
Nvidia’s recent $20 billion acqui-hire of Groq is more than a single high-profile transaction — it’s a clear signal that consolidation in AI hardware is accelerating.
Hans Stege
Jan 123 min read
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